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Latest headlines from the trading floor
- gDT – “Once is luck, twice is coincidence and three times is a pattern”
- Cheddar vs WMP Round 2
- CME Butter – Rocket Man
- US Gov Shutdown On Hold
- Powders powering gDT results
- US Milk production….Cowboy country is drying up
- It’s official, El Nino strikes back
- Cheddar vs WMP milk optimisation
- An unexpected strong WMP result on gDT Last night – Bull #1
- But China remained relatively quiet – Bear #1
- US prices, especially on the cheese front, remain high and supply seemingly tight – Bull #2
- European milk is still growing and European demand looks to be on the weak side – Bear #2
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- Chinese WMP demand is disappearing at a critical time of year
- What has helped the China milk boom? Cows from NZ and Australia!!
- US West Coast port issues, now compounded by Panama canal
- US cheese pricing, press replay for export uptake… or lack thereof
- gDT WMP takes it on the chin
- The seesaw action of the US cheese market continues
- Green shoots in China?
- Macro impacts on Dairy
- Plant-based dairy/meat, the interest balloon seems to be deflating
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US & NZ cheese prices wave at each other as they pass on the pricing curve
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Like the state of international rugby, NZ price forecast is opening up a big competitive chasm between Australia and New Zealand
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gDT was down again but not as much as predicted but still no thanks to China buying
- The Slope of Hope, CME Cheese futures continues the faith game
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gDT – well that was interesting, let’s have a closer look
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June is done, Aussie dairy industry breathes a sigh of relief… but…
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Milk finally grows in Australia, could we see the trend continue?
- We’re seeing just how much money shipping companies made across the pandemic, it’s sickening
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West Coast USA port issues – “We’re Back”!! (said in that scary Poltergeist voice)
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We’re still in the USA and April exports were way down after being way up…which way now?
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Silly season update, reporting live from Down Under
- Silly season comes to Australian dairy industry 6 months early
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China China China – so much to discuss
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Trouble a foot in the middle east? Yes, pun intended
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Ghosts of Food Box past in the USA (the Christmas references continue)
- China has a birth rate problem – President Xi decrees time to procreate
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Meanwhile, California has a snowpack problem adding to a water problem
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USA needs exports more than it knows
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“Super” El Nino on the way? More than another new awesome weather word
- ADPI wrap up. What did we learn?
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West Coast USA port negotiations drag on. It’s all about the theory of relativity
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Surely we can’t flip from La Nina to El Nino….
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Chinese milk supply….What is going on behind the wall?
- 18,000 dairy cows lost in a farm fire in TX…. Yes, you read that right 18,000!!!!
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CA dairy region now under water
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gDT bounces back – SMP shows signs of life
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Oceania processors face the mother of all catch 22’s
- gDT – China is BACK! But where was everyone else? – Discuss
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Australian dairy farmers may have cause for pause if considering a beef transition
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Looks like we’re back in the 1800s US wild west, train heists are a thing
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Race is on to stop cows far… no let me rephrase, stop cows’ flatulence
- No one will be surprised to hear that Chinese imports are down to begin ’23 but the scale is eye opening
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That thump you heard last night was gDT cheese falling out of bed
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Spring has Sprung in the northern hemisphere, milk is plentiful in Europe and the US
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Environmental pressures are a growing reality in our industry and will help frame the future over the next 5 years
- European milk expected to decline in 2H of 2023 but there is still a spring flush to deal with first
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Shipping lines continue to hold on to blank sailings as a nice little demand enhancer
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Market is looking for a direction, what day is it?
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Whey proteins have experienced one of the sharpest price corrections ever, where to from here?
- Infant formula world – it’s tough out there
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NZ smashed again – could be a very early finish for the North Island
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What happens to alternate proteins when money starts to cost money?
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Australia’s milk is down 7% YoY. Imagine if it was dry and we didn’t have the highest milk price on record!
- Anyone for a swim? North Island Kiwis under water
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Some Euro traders have called the bottom, at least for now
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Dairy Farmer exits are a global phenomenon
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Middle East demand, the quiet achiever!
January 18, 2023
- California is the new Australia – land of drought & flooding rains
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China is back – it’s just that no one noticed
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Euro winter is mild – more milk?
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Aussie processors scrambling for milk
December 21, 2022
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Europe sends a pretty clear message, we’ve got dairy products to sell
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It’s still crazy dry in Cali, so are the cows packing up for greener pastures?
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China’s infant market claims another victim upon It’s rocky shores
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Merry Christmas from all of us at Ausfine – another crazy year to add to the pile
December 7, 2022
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Oops, maybe Europe has a bit more milk than we bargained for
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China showing green shoots of COVID easing restrictions – do we start overreacting yet?
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NZ is down on milk but does it matter?
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Factories are being boarded up here in Australia